Pronostici NFL basati sull'IA, analisi delle scommesse e consigli di valore.
Los Angeles Rams
1.64
Valore stimato
+4.6%
Media di mercato
1.57
Probabilità equa
63.8%
Bookmaker monitorati
27
Los Angeles Rams have a 63.9% consensus, outpacing the Raiders in market perception.
New York Jets
1.51
Valore stimato
+3.6%
Media di mercato
1.46
Probabilità equa
68.6%
Bookmaker monitorati
27
New York Jets possess a 68.7% consensus, indicating they are the market's top pick against the Dolphins.
Pittsburgh Steelers
1.67
Valore stimato
+4.5%
Media di mercato
1.60
Probabilità equa
62.6%
Bookmaker monitorati
26
Pittsburgh Steelers have a 62.5% consensus, outpacing the Saints in market expectation.
San Francisco 49ers
1.73
Valore stimato
+3.1%
Media di mercato
1.68
Probabilità equa
59.6%
Bookmaker monitorati
27
San Francisco 49ers hold a 59.7% consensus, making them the market favorite over the Falcons.
Cincinnati Bengals
1.71
Valore stimato
+3.8%
Media di mercato
1.65
Probabilità equa
60.7%
Bookmaker monitorati
27
Cincinnati Bengals enjoy a 60.5% consensus, indicating higher market confidence than the Ravens.
Denver Broncos
1.47
Valore stimato
+2.8%
Media di mercato
1.43
Probabilità equa
69.9%
Bookmaker monitorati
27
Denver Broncos hold a 69.8% consensus, indicating strong market backing over the Cardinals.
Dallas Cowboys
1.48
Valore stimato
+2.9%
Media di mercato
1.44
Probabilità equa
69.5%
Bookmaker monitorati
27
Dallas Cowboys lead with a 69.5% consensus, suggesting they are the favored side against the Eagles.
Detroit Lions
1.56
Valore stimato
+2.7%
Media di mercato
1.52
Probabilità equa
65.8%
Bookmaker monitorati
27
Detroit Lions dominate with a 65.9% consensus, clearly favored over the Packers.
Cleveland Browns
1.83
Valore stimato
+4.5%
Media di mercato
1.75
Probabilità equa
57.1%
Bookmaker monitorati
27
Cleveland Browns lead with a 57.0% consensus, slightly ahead of the Titans.
Seattle Seahawks
1.71
Valore stimato
+2.5%
Media di mercato
1.67
Probabilità equa
59.9%
Bookmaker monitorati
27
Seattle Seahawks have a 60.0% consensus, surpassing the Chiefs in market weighting.
Carolina Panthers
1.69
Valore stimato
+2.5%
Media di mercato
1.65
Probabilità equa
60.7%
Bookmaker monitorati
27
Carolina Panthers hold a 60.6% consensus, indicating stronger market support than the Buccaneers.
Understanding key scoring numbers (3, 7, 10), field goal margins, and line movement in American football.
American Football is one of the most heavily analyzed sports betting markets in the world. Due to the structured nature of scoring (touchdowns = 6 points + 1 extra point, field goals = 3 points), NFL margin of victory distributions cluster around specific 'key numbers', making point spread evaluation uniquely quantitative.
Historically, approximately 15% of all NFL games finish with a margin of victory of exactly 3 points, and roughly 9% finish with a margin of exactly 7 points. Secondary key numbers include 6, 10, 14, and 4. Moving a point spread across the key number 3 (e.g., from -2.5 to -3.5) represents a substantial change in true probability that is far larger than moving from -8.5 to -9.5.
The primary market in NFL betting. The favorite is assigned a negative handicap (e.g., -3.5) and must win by 4+ points; the underdog can lose by up to 3 or win outright.
Straight-up winner market. If the game goes to overtime, the final result (including overtime) decides the wager. In regular season ties, moneyline wagers are settled as pushes.
Total points scored by both offenses, defenses, and special teams throughout regulation and any overtime periods played.
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