AI NFL 预测、博彩分析及价值选择。
Los Angeles Rams
1.64
估算价值
+4.6%
市场平均值
1.57
公平概率
63.8%
已跟踪的博彩公司数量
27
Los Angeles Rams have a 63.9% consensus, outpacing the Raiders in market perception.
New York Jets
1.51
估算价值
+3.6%
市场平均值
1.46
公平概率
68.6%
已跟踪的博彩公司数量
27
New York Jets possess a 68.7% consensus, indicating they are the market's top pick against the Dolphins.
Pittsburgh Steelers
1.67
估算价值
+4.5%
市场平均值
1.60
公平概率
62.6%
已跟踪的博彩公司数量
26
Pittsburgh Steelers have a 62.5% consensus, outpacing the Saints in market expectation.
San Francisco 49ers
1.73
估算价值
+3.1%
市场平均值
1.68
公平概率
59.6%
已跟踪的博彩公司数量
27
San Francisco 49ers hold a 59.7% consensus, making them the market favorite over the Falcons.
Cincinnati Bengals
1.71
估算价值
+3.8%
市场平均值
1.65
公平概率
60.7%
已跟踪的博彩公司数量
27
Cincinnati Bengals enjoy a 60.5% consensus, indicating higher market confidence than the Ravens.
Denver Broncos
1.47
估算价值
+2.8%
市场平均值
1.43
公平概率
69.9%
已跟踪的博彩公司数量
27
Denver Broncos hold a 69.8% consensus, indicating strong market backing over the Cardinals.
Dallas Cowboys
1.48
估算价值
+2.9%
市场平均值
1.44
公平概率
69.5%
已跟踪的博彩公司数量
27
Dallas Cowboys lead with a 69.5% consensus, suggesting they are the favored side against the Eagles.
Detroit Lions
1.56
估算价值
+2.7%
市场平均值
1.52
公平概率
65.8%
已跟踪的博彩公司数量
27
Detroit Lions dominate with a 65.9% consensus, clearly favored over the Packers.
Cleveland Browns
1.83
估算价值
+4.5%
市场平均值
1.75
公平概率
57.1%
已跟踪的博彩公司数量
27
Cleveland Browns lead with a 57.0% consensus, slightly ahead of the Titans.
Seattle Seahawks
1.71
估算价值
+2.5%
市场平均值
1.67
公平概率
59.9%
已跟踪的博彩公司数量
27
Seattle Seahawks have a 60.0% consensus, surpassing the Chiefs in market weighting.
Carolina Panthers
1.69
估算价值
+2.5%
市场平均值
1.65
公平概率
60.7%
已跟踪的博彩公司数量
27
Carolina Panthers hold a 60.6% consensus, indicating stronger market support than the Buccaneers.
Understanding key scoring numbers (3, 7, 10), field goal margins, and line movement in American football.
American Football is one of the most heavily analyzed sports betting markets in the world. Due to the structured nature of scoring (touchdowns = 6 points + 1 extra point, field goals = 3 points), NFL margin of victory distributions cluster around specific 'key numbers', making point spread evaluation uniquely quantitative.
Historically, approximately 15% of all NFL games finish with a margin of victory of exactly 3 points, and roughly 9% finish with a margin of exactly 7 points. Secondary key numbers include 6, 10, 14, and 4. Moving a point spread across the key number 3 (e.g., from -2.5 to -3.5) represents a substantial change in true probability that is far larger than moving from -8.5 to -9.5.
The primary market in NFL betting. The favorite is assigned a negative handicap (e.g., -3.5) and must win by 4+ points; the underdog can lose by up to 3 or win outright.
Straight-up winner market. If the game goes to overtime, the final result (including overtime) decides the wager. In regular season ties, moneyline wagers are settled as pushes.
Total points scored by both offenses, defenses, and special teams throughout regulation and any overtime periods played.
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